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Democrat wins state House seat in Trump-friendly Sarasota

Democrat wins state House seat in Trump-friendly Sarasota

Historically speaking, special election results usually are somewhat predictive of midterm general election outcomes, though I don't think anyone believes it's realistic for Democrats to obtain a nationwide 23-point swing relative to Clinton's numbers.

The poll, along with the widely respected Rasmussen Reports, found that President Donald Trump's approval rating is 47 percent.

US President Donald Trump speaks to reporters in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington.

Though the GOP held a significant clear advantage in voter registration, Democrats have won in the district before. But that election was less troubling for Republicans than Tuesday night's contest.

Trump predicted that Republicans will do better than expected in November when all 435 seats in the House of Representatives are at stake and 34 of the 100 Senate seats.

Among registered voters, 39 percent said they would back the GOP candidate in their district, according to the poll.

"It's fantastic what low expectations can do", said Jose Felix Diaz, a former GOP state representative who in September lost to Democrat Annette Taddeo in a special election for a left-leaning Miami Senate seat.

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"Margaret Good's overwhelming victory in Florida's HD 72 demonstrates that voters are energized to cast their ballot for a candidate who can shake up our broken political system, not the son of a Washington establishment politician".

And in a district where Republicans held a voter registration advantage of almost 13,000, the Democratic Party sees it as evidence it can win in Republican strongholds.

Democrats know that Florida is a key state for them in the all-important midterm elections. They want strong public education.

Even so, it's a race that, on paper, Republicans should have won. And they kept up during an early and absentee voting period that saw an unnaturally high turnout for a special election, besting Democrats as a party by almost 200 votes. Since 1998, Democrats have only won two statewide elections in a non-presidential election year. "We ran 'em out of town", said state Rep. Kionne McGhee, a Miami Democrat who will take over as minority leader after the November election and is in charge of recruiting House candidates.

Democrats lead Republicans on just one issue: healthcare. "She's going to win by 7 or 8 points despite the fact that 2,000 more Republicans voted than Democrats". After a prolonged losing streak the last eight years, Democrats have suddenly picked up 35 seats nationally over the last 14 months.

"If you're still wondering about the power of people like you who give 15 or 25 dollars to impact elections, look no further than last year's marquee races", Democratic National Committee (DNC) Finance Chairman Henry Munoz wrote in an appeal to donors last week.

The final turnout figure was 36 percent. This year we're going to make clear that those who stand with us will earn our support and those who ignore us or attack us will be held to account.


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