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India to have 'normal' Monsoon this year, says IMD

India to have 'normal' Monsoon this year, says IMD

Sending a positive signal to farm sector and overall economy, the country's national weather forecaster - India Meteorological Department (IMD) - on Monday predicted "normal" monsoon rains during June-September period.

IMD's forecast of 97% rainfall comes with a model error of (plus-minus) 5%. Since 2012, IMD is also using the dynamical global climate forecasting system (CFS) model developed under the Monsoon Mission to generate forecasts. "The forecast suggests that the monsoon rainfall during the 2018 season averaged over the country as a whole is likely to be 97 per cent", IMD Director General K.J. Ramesh said at press conference here.

The date of onset of monsoon will be announced in the middle of May.

Despite "normal" forecast, the monsoon can be affected by the El NiƱo conditions.

More news: Russia Warns of "Consequences" as Putin Denounces Syria Strikes

The IMD will issue the update in early June, as a part of the second stage forecast.

A good monsoon is good news for the Indian economy.

According to Skymet Weather, Monsoon 2018 is likely to be normal at 100% (with an error margin of +/-5%) of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September. Anything between 90-96 per cent of the LPA is considered "below normal".

IMD in October 2017 said that while 72 per cent of the total area of the country received normal rainfall, 13 per cent area got excess rainfall and 15 per cent deficient seasonal rainfall. India had faced deficient rains during monsoon season in 2015 and 2014, making both these years drought years.


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